Tropical Storm Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

October 23, 2025
radmin

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025

000
FONT13 KNHC 231447
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
ISLE OF PINES  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   5(16)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)  14(23)   6(29)   2(31)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)  17(34)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  1   1( 2)   5( 7)  11(18)  35(53)  17(70)   4(74)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  16(33)   4(37)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   3(19)
 
KINGSTON       34  1   3( 4)  14(18)  26(44)  36(80)   6(86)   2(88)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  35(44)  11(55)   3(58)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   9(32)   1(33)
 
LES CAYES      34  1   4( 5)  14(19)  17(36)  11(47)   3(50)   1(51)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   1(12)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  1   4( 5)   9(14)   9(23)   8(31)   3(34)   1(35)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  1   2( 3)   7(10)   5(15)   5(20)   2(22)   1(23)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN

NHC Atlantic

Virgin Islands News - News.VI

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Major Coastal Zone Management Permit No. CZML0007-23

PUBLIC NOTICE

Infra Towers, LLC announces that pursuant Section 6(3) of Major Coastal Zone Management Permit No. CZML0007-23, this constitutes Public Notice of the October 31, 2025 Project Start Date for the construction of a One Hundred Foot (100.0’) monopalm communications tower capable of supporting three wireless carriers, to be erected within a 30.0’ by 50.0’ fenced enclosure at Plot 73 Estate Clairmont, Northside Quarter B, St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands.
Their Site working hours will be between 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. The projected duration of the construction process is six (6) months. The construction will not lead to any distinguishable changes to existing traffic routes.
Infra Towers, LLC
(340) 227-9311

U.S. Virgin Islands Handcyclist Andrew Hairston Wins Detroit Marathon

The territory’s Andrew Hairston won the handcycling division of the Detroit Marathon on Sunday, finishing the course in 1 hour and 27 minutes. The 32-year-old athlete finished first out of 17 hand cyclists, claiming victory in what he describes as “arguably the best race for hand cyclists in the U.S.”

This was his fourth time racing in Detroit and his first victory after two previous third place finishes.

The race began in challenging conditions, with windy and rainy weather greeting the early-morning staters. Hairston’s strategy shifted early on when his friend and racing partner, Dustin, with whom he planned to share the workload, suffered a mechanical issue.

“The toughest part was the 20 miles by yourself, trying to stay motivated and keep the power up so you can keep the gap open,” said Hairston. He credited his team of bike guides for ensuring his safety on the wet, technical course that crosses into Canada and back.

Hairston trains 15-20 hours per week, mixing long rides with high-intensity intervals. “Cycling is all a game of power to weight. The stronger you are the lighter you are, the faster you’ll go,” he said.

He was introduced to hand cycling through the Achilles Freedom Team while recovering at Walter Reed from a life changing accident that left Hairston with a leg amputation. A free trip to New York, which he almost turned down, led to his first race which was a four mile race through Central Park that ended in Hairston taking third place.

Reflecting on the win, Hairston expressed gratitude for the support from the Virgin Islands community. “To have an entire community show love the way they do, makes all the hard work, tough days, and so much more, worth it,” says Hairston.

As a role model Hairston extends a simple message,”don’t give up, everybody is going through something. As long as you strive to do your best, you just can’t be upset with the outcome.”

True to that spirit, Hairston is already looking ahead. He will compete next in the Marine Corps Marathon before aiming for World Cup qualification in 2025, with a long term goal of earning a wild card spot for the LA 2028 Paralympics.

VI

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St. Croix, USVI