Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025
642 WTNT23 KNHC 231445 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. 4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 30SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.9N 75.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.3N 74.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.7N 74.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 75.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N 75.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.4N 76.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N 77.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 65NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 80SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.7N 78.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 70SE 60SW 65NW. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 130SW 140NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 74.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Atlantic
