Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 23 2025

940 
WTNT23 KNHC 230235
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0300 UTC THU OCT 23 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  74.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE  60SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  74.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  74.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.7N  74.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N  75.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.3N  75.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N  75.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N  75.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.1N  76.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  74.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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