Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 25 2025
000 WTNT23 KNHC 250842 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 0900 UTC SAT OCT 25 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 75.0W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 120SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 75.0W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 74.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 75.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.7N 75.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.8N 76.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 77.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.2N 77.4W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.8N 77.2W...S COAST OF JAMAICA MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.4N 75.3W...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 100SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.8N 71.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 140SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 75.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
NHC Atlantic
