Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 24 2025
000 WTNT23 KNHC 240841 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 0900 UTC FRI OCT 24 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 75.5W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 15SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 75.5W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 75.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.1N 75.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.6N 75.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.9N 75.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 76.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.9N 77.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 78.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N 78.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 80SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.8N 77.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 75.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
NHC Atlantic
