Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025
000 WTNT22 KNHC 140246 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 42.8W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 150SE 20SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 42.8W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 42.3W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.4N 43.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.3N 44.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 21.6N 44.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.3N 41.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.0N 35.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 29.0N 28.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 26.0N 31.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 42.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
NHC Atlantic
