Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024
394
WTNT22 KNHC 011451
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 39.2W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT…….170NE 130SE 70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 39.2W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 38.7W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 40.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 42.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…180NE 170SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 43.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…170NE 150SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.3N 45.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT…GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT… 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT… 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT…180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 46.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT… 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT…180NE 170SE 110SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.6N 48.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT…110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 25.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT…130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT…200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 30.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT…GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT…140NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT…220NE 240SE 150SW 170NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 39.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Atlantic
