Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
164 WTNT25 KNHC 080843 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0900 UTC WED OCT 08 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 50.7W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 50.7W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 49.8W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.2N 53.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.7N 56.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.3N 59.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.9N 61.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N 62.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.6N 63.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 28.3N 63.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 70SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 32.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 50.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
NHC Atlantic