St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
10:14 am, Oct 8, 2025
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Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 3

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 080233
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
0300 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.7W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  48.7W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  47.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.6N  51.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.9N  55.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N  58.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.1N  60.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.8N  62.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N  63.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.7N  63.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 31.7N  60.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  48.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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