Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 300858
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0900 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  76.8W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE 100SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 270SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  76.8W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  77.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.3N  75.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.3N  72.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.6N  68.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 150SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.8N  63.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 160SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.4N  56.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 230SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 36.6N  51.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 41.5N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 48.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 250SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  76.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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