Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 291453
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  77.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  40SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  77.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  77.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N  75.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.7N  73.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 30.8N  70.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  65SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.3N  65.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  75SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 160SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.7N  60.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  50SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  85SE  75SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 180SW 280NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...320NE 230SE 210SW 250NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  77.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

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