St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
8:11 am, Sep 29, 2025
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Tropical Storm Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 11

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 290851
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  77.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  77.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  77.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.7N  77.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.1N  76.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.9N  75.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 29.9N  72.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.1N  68.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 130SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N  63.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  55SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...280NE 250SE 160SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.0N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...360NE 200SE 180SW 300NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 39.5N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 180SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  77.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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