St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
7:16 am, Sep 18, 2025
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 5

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 18 2025

000
WTNT22 KNHC 180832
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072025
0900 UTC THU SEP 18 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  50.3W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE  30SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  50.3W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  49.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.8N  51.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.8N  53.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 110SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.0N  57.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 25.3N  59.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.8N  60.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 30.2N  61.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 34.4N  58.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  50.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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