St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
6:32 pm, Sep 21, 2025
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 18

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 21 2025

000
WTNT22 KNHC 211451
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072025
1500 UTC SUN SEP 21 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  61.0W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 135SE  75SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  61.0W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  60.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.8N  61.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.9N  61.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.3N  59.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.8N  55.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 35.6N  50.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  25SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 36.9N  38.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 130SE 120SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 41.0N  27.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  61.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

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