St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
9:09 pm, Sep 19, 2025
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 11

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2025

000
WTNT22 KNHC 192040
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072025
2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  56.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  56.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  56.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 25.0N  59.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.8N  60.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.6N  61.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.6N  61.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 33.0N  59.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 38.1N  51.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 140SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 42.1N  38.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...230NE 250SE 220SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  56.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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