Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 02 2024
000
WTNT23 KNHC 022037
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
2100 UTC WED OCT 02 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 29.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 29.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 29.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 10.2N 30.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.1N 31.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 10.2N 32.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT… 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.6N 33.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 11.1N 35.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT… 45NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.8N 36.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT…120NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 13.8N 38.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 29.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER TORRES-VAZQUEZ/PAPIN
NHC Atlantic