St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
1:41 am, Sep 28, 2025
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Tropical Depression Nine Forecast Advisory Number 5

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 272042
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
2100 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  76.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  76.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  76.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.3N  77.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.9N  77.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.7N  78.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.5N  78.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.0N  78.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.8N  78.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 31.1N  76.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 160NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 140SE 140SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  76.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART

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