St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
4:00 am, Sep 27, 2025
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Advisory Number 2

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 270235
TCMAT4
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0300 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  76.0W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  76.0W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  75.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.2N  76.6W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N  77.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.8N  77.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.3N  77.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.1N  78.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 32.0N  79.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N  78.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  76.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG

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