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4:52 pm, Aug 28, 2025
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Forecast Discussion Number 19

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025

000
WTNT41 KNHC 280838
TCDAT1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062025
900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025
 
It has now been more than 12 hours since Fernand has produced what 
could be considered organized deep convection near its center, and 
now that the cyclone has moved north of the Gulf Stream, this 
activity is very unlikely to come back. Therefore, Fernand is now 
considered a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the final NHC 
advisory on the system. The maximum sustained winds have been 
lowered to 40 kt, assuming there has been some spin-down of the 
winds relative to the earlier scatterometer data, given the lack of 
deep convection. The system is continuing to accelerate 
east-northeastward, now at 060/20 kt, and this motion should 
continue until the post-tropical cyclone opens up into a trough in 
about 24-36 hours. This system will ultimately become absorbed by a 
larger mid-latitude cyclone forecast to develop in the far North 
Atlantic.
 
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/0900Z 41.2N  42.9W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  28/1800Z 42.7N  38.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 24H  29/0600Z 44.9N  31.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 36H  29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

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