Issued at 0900 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024
000 FONT13 KNHC 080845 PWSAT3 HURRICANE RAFAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 0900 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAFAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) BURAS LA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 4(14) 2(16) 1(17) HOUMA LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 10(25) 3(28) 1(29) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 6(15) 8(23) 2(25) X(25) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) MERIDA MX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Atlantic