Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 29 2025
000
FONT13 KNHC 291456
PWSAT3
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
1500 UTC WED OCT 29 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 2(51) X(51)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) X(42) X(42)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 35(35) 50(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 66 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
GREAT EXUMA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN SALVADOR 50 59 11(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
SAN SALVADOR 64 13 20(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MAYAGUANA 34 87 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
MAYAGUANA 50 26 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MAYAGUANA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GRAND TURK 34 9 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUERTO PLATA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Atlantic
