Issued at 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
000 WTNT33 KNHC 301748 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 37A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025 ...CONDITIONS IN BERMUDA WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 70.9W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations should be rushed to completion in Bermuda before tropical-storm-force winds reach the island later today. After Melissa becomes post-tropical, a brief period of heavy rain and gusty winds is possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland Friday night. For more information on impacts in Canada, see the Canadian Hurricane Center website at https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 70.9 West. Melissa is moving toward the northeast near 30 mph (48 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to pass to the northwest of Bermuda later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, and a weakening trend is likely to begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will begin on Bermuda late this afternoon or early this evening, with hurricane conditions expected there tonight. Gusty winds are possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland Friday night. RAINFALL: An additional 1 to 2 inches is possible today over portions of Hispaniola. For Bermuda, outer bands of Melissa may bring an inch of rain through tonight. A brief period of heavy rain is possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland Friday night. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Melissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds for Bermuda. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions of Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands during the next couple of days, and will spread toward Bermuda later today. Swells generated by Melissa are also likely to reach the coast of the Northeastern United States and Atlantic Canada Friday and persist into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Hagen
NHC Atlantic
