Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
375 WTNT33 KNHC 300851 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA AS MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS TO INVESTIGATE MELISSA THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 73.4W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the central and southeastern Bahamas. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the Turks and Caicos Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations should be rushed to completion in Bermuda before tropical-storm-force winds reach the island later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 73.4 West. Melissa is moving toward the north-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and the hurricane is expected to continue accelerating northeastward during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to pass to the northwest of Bermuda later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible today before weakening likely begins on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will begin on Bermuda later today, with hurricane conditions expected there tonight. RAINFALL: Over the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos, an additional inch of rain is possible, with storm total maxima up to 10 inches in the southeast Bahamas and storm total maxima up to 4 inches across the Turks and Caicos. Any residual flooding should be waning. Over portions of Hispaniola, additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is possible this morning, with storm total accumulations up to 40 inches possible in southern Hispaniola. Across Bermuda, outer bands east of Melissa’s track may bring up to an inch (25 mm) of rain today and tonight. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Melissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Water levels should continue to subside through the morning for the southeastern Bahamas. Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds for Bermuda. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions of Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands during the next couple of days, and will spread toward Bermuda later today, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Atlantic
