St. Croix, USVI

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1:00 am, Oct 30, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 33

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 29 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 291455
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC WED OCT 29 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  75.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 100SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  70SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  75.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  75.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N  74.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.9N  71.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 85NE  95SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.6N  67.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  25NW.
50 KT... 95NE 110SE  70SW  55NW.
34 KT...160NE 190SE 140SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 37.2N  61.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  55SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  85SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 220SE 210SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.3N  55.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  50SE  35SW   0NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...190NE 260SE 240SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.0N  48.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...190NE 270SE 210SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 55.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 290SE 240SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 58.8N  18.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 320SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  75.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 29/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

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