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10:45 pm, Oct 28, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 28

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 280855
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  78.3W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  901 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  78.3W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  78.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.2N  77.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.9N  76.5W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.9N  75.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.6N  73.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.1N  70.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 32.4N  65.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 43.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 51.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  78.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART

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