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11:26 am, Oct 28, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 27

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 280256
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0300 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  78.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  903 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  78.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  78.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N  78.3W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.8N  77.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.7N  76.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N  74.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.8N  72.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 29.8N  68.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 38.9N  56.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 47.5N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 190SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  78.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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