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5:04 pm, Oct 27, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 25

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2025

772 
WTNT23 KNHC 271446
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  78.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  908 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  78.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.9N  78.3W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N  77.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.1N  76.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N  75.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N  73.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.9N  71.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 34.3N  63.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 150SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 42.8N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 190SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  78.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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