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7:15 pm, Oct 26, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 21

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 261454
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  76.6W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  76.6W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  76.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.4N  77.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N  77.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N  77.7W...NEAR SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.2N  76.6W...NORTH OF JAMAICA
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N  75.1W...NEAR ATLANTIC E CUBA COAST
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 65NE  70SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 32.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  85SE  65SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 140SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  76.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

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