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9:58 am, Oct 26, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 20

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 260855
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0900 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.3N  76.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N  77.9W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N  77.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N  76.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N  75.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.8N  71.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 30.3N  66.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  76.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG

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