Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024
000
WTNT22 KNHC 021447
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 43.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT……. 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT……. 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…….170NE 180SE 70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 43.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 42.6W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 44.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 35NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.2N 45.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT… 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT…170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.3N 47.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT… 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT… 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT…170NE 170SE 90SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.7N 48.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT… 55NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT… 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.4N 49.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT…110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT…180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.7N 50.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT…120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 32.7N 49.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT…130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT…220NE 230SE 150SW 170NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.6N 42.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT…140NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT…250NE 290SE 250SW 190NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 43.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Atlantic