St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
3:32 pm, Oct 1, 2025
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Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 20

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 011452
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  70.4W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  70.4W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.9N  66.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 140SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.6N  61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...260NE 220SE 170SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.8N  56.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 180SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.8N  52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...350NE 220SE 180SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE  80SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 200SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 40.7N  48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 220SE 200SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 45.9N  40.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 190NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 50.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  70.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART

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