St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
8:02 am, Oct 1, 2025
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Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 19

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

000
WTNT24 KNHC 010852
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0900 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  72.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  72.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.1N  69.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 230SE 140SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.2N  64.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 180SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.4N  58.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.0N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE  70SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.7N  50.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 39.7N  48.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 220SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 44.8N  41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 49.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  72.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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