St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
1:43 am, Oct 1, 2025
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Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 18

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

287 
WTNT24 KNHC 010241
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0300 UTC WED OCT 01 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  73.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  50SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  73.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  74.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N  70.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.2N  65.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 170SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.9N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.4N  54.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.9N  50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.9N  48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 220SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 45.4N  41.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 51.6N  30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  73.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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