St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
2:06 pm, Sep 27, 2025
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Hurricane Humberto Forecast Advisory Number 12

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 271437
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082025
1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  60.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 105SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  60.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  59.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.1N  61.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.1N  63.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N  65.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.1N  66.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.0N  67.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.3N  68.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 35.4N  64.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 150SW 170NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.8N  50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...350NE 300SE 300SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  60.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY

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