St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
6:59 am, Sep 22, 2025
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Hurricane Gabrielle Forecast Advisory Number 21

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2025

000
WTNT22 KNHC 220856
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072025
0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  62.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  62.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.3N  62.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.9N  60.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.4N  57.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.4N  53.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 36.0N  47.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 36.7N  41.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 140SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 40.7N  28.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 140SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 44.2N  19.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 160SW 140NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  62.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY

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