Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 220841
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  65.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......140NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT.......280NE 320SE 270SW 280NW.
4 M SEAS....410NE 480SE 510SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  65.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  66.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.9N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
34 KT...320NE 330SE 280SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.8N  55.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.
34 KT...310NE 350SE 310SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.1N  47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT... 80NE 200SE 170SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 350SE 340SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 47.4N  38.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  80SW  60NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 200SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 380SE 380SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 50.8N  30.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
50 KT...  0NE 210SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 430SE 400SW 280NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 53.9N  24.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 170SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 380SE 500SW 340NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 58.0N  20.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 360SE 500SW 280NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 58.2N  20.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 440SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N  65.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG

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