St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
6:45 am, Aug 22, 2025
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Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 43

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 220232
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  67.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......140NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT.......200NE 320SE 270SW 280NW.
4 M SEAS....450NE 480SE 540SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  67.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  68.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.8N  63.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...260NE 320SE 270SW 280NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.7N  58.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 280NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.0N  51.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 46.1N  42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 49.3N  34.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 52.1N  28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 140SE 180SW  80NW.
34 KT...290NE 420SE 410SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 56.6N  21.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 140SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 420SW 300NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 57.5N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 340SE 360SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N  67.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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