St. Croix, USVI

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St. Croix
1:26 pm, Aug 21, 2025
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Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 37

Virgin Islands News

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 201453
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  73.7W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......220NE 230SE 130SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....420NE 420SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  73.7W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  73.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N  73.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.4N  72.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 200SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.6N  69.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 270SE 230SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.6N  65.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...170NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 280SE 240SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 100SE 110SW  80NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...320NE 330SE 260SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.5N  54.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  90SE 100SW  60NW.
50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...350NE 340SE 270SW 260NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 47.4N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 260NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 52.5N  27.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  90SE 210SW 120NW.
34 KT...280NE 380SE 420SW 360NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  73.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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