October 23, 2025 - Page 4 of 11 - Virgin Islands News

Jon Bon Jovi’s Comments on Millie Bobby Brown, Jake Bongiovi’s Baby

In love with his granddaughter? Jon Bon Jovi is well over halfway there.
Two months after Millie Bobby Brown, 21, and Jake Bongiovi, 23, shared they had adopted a baby girl, the Bon Jovi…

October 23, 2025

Cheryl Burke Reveals Why She Legally Changed Her Name

Cheryl Burke is waltzing back to her roots.
The Dancing With the Stars alum revealed that she legally changed her name before the start of her career, and her true moniker has a layered back…

October 23, 2025

Lori Loughlin, Mossimo Giannulli Sell $14.9 Million Mansion Amid Split

Lori Loughlin and Mossimo Giannulli are embarking on a new chapter.
Amid the pair’s breakup after 27 years of marriage, they’ve found a buyer for their Los Angeles home, with the house’s Zillow…

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Graphics

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 23 Oct 2025 14:51:40 GMT

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 23 Oct 2025 14:51:40 GMT

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Graphics

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 23 Oct 2025 14:51:40 GMT

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 23 Oct 2025 14:51:40 GMT

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Forecast Discussion Number 9

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 000
WTNT43 KNHC 231449
TCDAT3

Tropical Storm Melissa Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025

Melissa’s structure has undergone a metamorphosis this morning.
Convection developed up-shear of the system for the first time after
the prior advisory, with some evidence of loose banding beginning to
take shape. This structure could indicate that the westerly vertical
wind shear that has been affecting the system the last couple of
days is beginning to subside, and could allow the low and mid-level
centers to become better aligned. For now though, the surface
circulation remains rather broad and still tilted to the northeast
with height. The peak 850 mb flight level winds from the ongoing Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance mission have only been 40 to 45 kt. A
blend of the lower aircraft data and higher satellite estimates
results in the initial intensity being adjusted to 40 kt for this
advisory.

The center of the tropical storm may have reformed northward from
last night, as the last several aircraft fixes indicates a very
slow north-northwestward drift, estimated at 345/2 kt. As has been
emphasized over the last few discussions, Melissa is likely to
continue moving very slowly as it drifts northward towards a
weakness in the mid-level ridging produced by an upper-level trough
over the Bahamas. This trough is expected to lift out over the next
24-48 hours, allowing a narrow mid-level ridge to build back in from
the west. In response, the track guidance shows Melissa turning
westward between 48 to 96 h, but the ridge remains centered to the
northwest, likely explaining why the forward motion is expected to
remain quite slow. Compared to 24 h ago, the guidance is in better
agreement on this westward turn, but how sharp this turn is, and how
far northward Melissa makes it in the meantime still remains
uncertain. A variety of model solutions show Melissa south of
Jamaica (ECMWF), over Jamaica (GDMI), or north of Jamaica (HMON).
The track forecast this cycle continues to split the difference
between the HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) and GDMI
solutions, and is shifted a bit north compared to the previous track
forecast.

The shear over Melissa has been gradually decreasing, now under 20
kt in the latest ECMWF-SHIPS guidance. This shear is expected to
decrease further, remaining between 10-15 kt over the remainder of
the forecast period. Other environmental favors are also very
favorable, with 30-31 C sea-surface temperatures, and sufficient
mid-level moisture. The main intensity challenge is predicting when
Melissa becomes a more symmetric and vertical aligned tropical
cyclone. Given the improved structure seen on satellite, it seems
the time-table for this process to occur has moved up in the
forecast period. Assuming Melissa can then establish an inner core
in the next 48 hours, a period of rapid intensification also appears
increasingly likely, sometime in the 2 to 3 day period. The latest
NHC intensity forecast now makes Melissa a hurricane in 48 hours, a
major hurricane in 72 h, and a peak intensity of 115 kt in 96 hours.
The end intensity could be conservative if Melissa ends up further
south of Jamaica with less land interaction, as suggested by the 00z
ECMWF and HAFS guidance. Over this period, the tropical cyclone is
expected to grow in size, and likely be a large and dangerous
hurricane towards the end of the forecast period.

Key Messages:

1. Melissa is expected to meander over the central Caribbean Sea for
several days and become a major hurricane by late this weekend or
early next week. Due to Melissa’s slow motion, the risk of a
prolonged multi-day period of potentially damaging winds, heavy
rainfall resulting in life-threatening flash flooding and numerous
landslides, and coastal flooding continues to increase for Jamaica.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion, since strong winds and flooding rains could begin in
Jamaica by Friday or Saturday.

2. Strong winds could also potentially last for a day or more over
the Tiburon peninsula of Haiti. In addition, interests in Cuba and
the rest of Haiti are urged to continue monitoring the latest
forecasts for Melissa.

3. In addition to Jamaica, Melissa will produce heavy rainfall
across portions of the southern Dominican Republic and southern
Haiti through this weekend and continuing into next week. This
rainfall will result in significant, life-threatening flash flooding
and numerous landslides.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 15.4N 74.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 15.9N 75.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 24/1200Z 16.3N 74.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/0000Z 16.7N 74.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 25/1200Z 17.1N 75.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 26/0000Z 17.3N 75.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 26/1200Z 17.4N 76.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 27/1200Z 17.4N 77.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
120H 28/1200Z 17.7N 78.4W 115 KT 130 MPH

$$
Forecaster Papin

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Public Advisory Number 9

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 181
WTNT33 KNHC 231447
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025

…MELISSA REORGANIZING AND EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING SOON…
…HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS
OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA THROUGH THE WEEKEND…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…15.4N 74.9W
ABOUT 220 MI…355 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 280 MI…450 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the
Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince
* Jamaica

A Tropical Storm Warning in effect for…
* Jamaica

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba
should monitor the progress of Melissa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 74.9 West. Melissa is
moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow
northward motion is forecast during the next day or two, followed by
a westward turn over the weekend. On the forecast track, Melissa
is expected to move closer to Jamaica and the southwestern portion
of Haiti during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradually strengthening is forecast over the next day or so,
followed by more rapid intensification this weekend. Melissa is
forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days and a major
hurricane by the end of the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in
Haiti and Jamaica beginning on late Friday or Saturday. Tropical
storm conditions are expected to begin in Jamaica earlier on Friday.

RAINFALL: Melissa is expected to bring 6 to 12 inches of rain to the
southern Dominican Republic, southern Haiti, and eastern Jamaica
through Sunday, with locally higher amounts possible. Additional
heavy rainfall is likely beyond Sunday. However, uncertainty in
Melissa’s track and forward speed reduces confidence in the exact
totals. Regardless, significant, life-threatening flash flooding
and numerous landslides are expected.

Across northern Dominican Republic, northern Haiti, and western
Jamaica, 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected through Sunday. Flash and
urban flooding will be possible through Sunday. Flooding impacts may
increase across western Jamaica next week.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Melissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are expected to affect portions
of Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next several
days. Please consult products from your local weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025 000
FONT13 KNHC 231447
PWSAT3

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS…45 MPH…75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)

SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)

PT GALLINAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)

ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)

GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)

MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)

GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)

ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)

CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 5(16)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 14(23) 6(29) 2(31)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 17(34)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)

MONTEGO BAY 34 1 1( 2) 5( 7) 11(18) 35(53) 17(70) 4(74)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 16(33) 4(37)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 3(19)

KINGSTON 34 1 3( 4) 14(18) 26(44) 36(80) 6(86) 2(88)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 35(44) 11(55) 3(58)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 9(32) 1(33)

LES CAYES 34 1 4( 5) 14(19) 17(36) 11(47) 3(50) 1(51)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 1(12)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 1 4( 5) 9(14) 9(23) 8(31) 3(34) 1(35)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)

CAPE BEATA 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 5(20) 2(22) 1(23)

PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)

SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

October 23, 2025

Weather

Tropical Storm Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 9

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025 642
WTNT23 KNHC 231445
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
1500 UTC THU OCT 23 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS….150NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 74.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.9N 75.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…100NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.3N 74.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.7N 74.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 35NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 75.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT…110NE 100SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N 75.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 45NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT…130NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.4N 76.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 50NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…150NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N 77.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT… 70NE 60SE 40SW 65NW.
34 KT…170NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.7N 78.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT… 75NE 70SE 60SW 65NW.
34 KT…180NE 190SE 130SW 140NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 74.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3…AT 23/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

October 23, 2025

Sports

Marathon record holder gets 3-year doping ban

Women’s marathon world record-holder Ruth Chepng’etich has been banned for three years after admitting a doping violation.

October 23, 2025