000ABNT20 KNHC 191144TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Near the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea (AL98):A tropical wave currently located near the Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected today continuing through Monday morning across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands as the system moves quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph into the eastern Caribbean Sea. Additional development is forecast to be limited over the next day or two, due to the fast forward motion of the wave. The system is then expected to slow down over the central Caribbean Sea during the middle portion of the week, where environmental conditions could become more conducive for development. A tropical depression could from over the central Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portion of this week.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.$$Forecaster Papin