000ABNT20 KNHC 220536TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Mon Sep 22 2025For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.Central Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic is producing limited showers and thunderstorms well to the west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although dry air should prevent any significant development over the next day or two, environmental conditions should gradually become more favorable for development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter part of this week while while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.East of the Windward Islands:A tropical wave located well to the east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for slow development over the next several days as the wave moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward, to the north of Hispaniola. Regardless of development, gusty winds and showers are expected for portions of the Leeward Islands late tonight and Tuesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.$$Forecaster Kelly
