000ABNT20 KNHC 231754TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):Satellite images and Air Force Reserve aircraft reconnaissance data indicate that an area of low pressure about 400 miles south- southeast of Bermuda continues to get better-defined, and recent satellite-derived winds indicate that the low pressure area has gale-force winds east of the center. This system is expected to become a tropical storm this afternoon or evening, with further intensification likely through Sunday while the low moves northward at 10 to 15 mph over the southwestern Atlantic. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, though the threat to that island appears to be less than yesterday. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…near 100 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…high…near 100 percent.East of the Windward Islands (AL99):Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located about 650 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some development of this system could occur during the next couple of days while the system moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Windward Islands as the system moves through on Sunday and Monday. By Tuesday, conditions over the central Caribbean are expected to be unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.&&High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Servicecan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php$$Forecaster Blake
