Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025 000
WTNT25 KNHC 220841
TCMAT5
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 65.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 19 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT……. 70NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT…….140NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT…….280NE 320SE 270SW 280NW.
4 M SEAS….410NE 480SE 510SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 65.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 66.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.9N 61.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 70NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.
50 KT…150NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
34 KT…320NE 330SE 280SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.8N 55.2W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT…140NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.
34 KT…310NE 350SE 310SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.1N 47.3W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 0NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT… 80NE 200SE 170SW 130NW.
34 KT…290NE 350SE 340SW 250NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 47.4N 38.4W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 0NE 60SE 80SW 60NW.
50 KT… 0NE 180SE 200SW 110NW.
34 KT…270NE 380SE 380SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 50.8N 30.6W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 0NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
50 KT… 0NE 210SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT…300NE 430SE 400SW 280NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 53.9N 24.8W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 0NE 0SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT… 0NE 180SE 170SW 60NW.
34 KT…300NE 380SE 500SW 340NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 58.0N 20.9W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…220NE 360SE 500SW 280NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 58.2N 20.1W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 210SE 440SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N 65.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
