964 ABNT20 KNHC 152309TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area moving across the northern Florida peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the south and southwest of its center. The system is forecast to move westward, and it could emerge over the far northeastern and north-central Gulf, possibly approaching the coast of Louisiana on Thursday. Environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form if the system moves far enough offshore over the next couple of days.Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the north-central Gulf Coast beginning late Wednesday and continuing through Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service office.* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.$$Forecaster Hagen
