349 ABNT20 KNHC 141138TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Northeastern Gulf:An area of low pressure located offshore the east coast of Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms this morning. This disturbance is forecast to move westward across Florida during the next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear favorable and some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.$$Forecaster Kelly