Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025 000
FONT13 KNHC 050848
PWSAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032025
0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS…35 MPH…55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 15(16) 11(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 1 20(21) 17(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 25(26) 18(44) 3(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 9( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
CHARLESTON SC 34 2 30(32) 8(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 14(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
